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Nasdaq Below 100-Day: Microsoft, Amazon Earnings Test Sellers

1h ago|5 min readStandard
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Fazen Markets

Source: investingLive

Written by AI from a primary source ·

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Key Takeaways

  • 1Both Nasdaq indices sit below their 100-day averages, so next week's megacap earnings must lift prices, not just beat estimates.

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The Nasdaq Composite is trading near 26,022, below its 100-day moving average at 26,255, while the Nasdaq 100 sits near 29,037 against a 100-day average of 29,573, according to the report. Amazon traded at $248.00, down 5.48% on the day, inside a range of $246.45 to $250.01 as of 22:26 UTC today. Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon all report next week, with the two technology heavyweights due Wednesday after the close and Amazon Thursday after the close.

Context — Why the Nasdaq's 100-Day Moving Average Matters This Week

The report frames the week as a test of whether earnings and guidance can hand buyers a reason to step back in, or whether results open the door for another push lower. That framing rests on where the indices sit relative to their moving averages, not on any single quarter's headline number.

The comparable the report supplies is technical rather than historical: the 200-day moving averages sit below current prices on both indices, at 24,922 for the Composite and 27,836 for the Nasdaq 100. Those levels are roughly 4.23% and 4.14% beneath current prices, which means the gap between where the market trades and its longer-term trend line is wide enough to matter if selling resumes.

The catalyst chain runs through the calendar. Wednesday after the close brings Microsoft and Alphabet alongside ServiceNow and KLA. Amazon follows Thursday after the close. Between them, the week also carries Verizon, UPS, Coca-Cola, Visa, PayPal, Caterpillar, Eli Lilly, Intel, Exxon Mobil and Chevron, spreading the read across technology, industrials, consumer and energy.

What changed is the technical position heading into the print. The report describes the 100-day moving averages as overhead resistance and the 200-day averages as downside targets, with rallies still able to qualify as corrections inside a more bearish picture. That is the setup buyers must work against.

For investors tracking broad index exposure, the practical question is whether the week resets the trend or confirms it. The report is explicit that the earnings will supply the headlines while price action tells traders what those headlines are worth.

Data — What the Numbers Show

The report's technical figures set the boundaries for the week. The Nasdaq Composite trades near 26,022, with its 100-day moving average at 26,255 and its 200-day at 24,922. The Nasdaq 100 trades near 29,037, with its 100-day at 29,573 and its 200-day at 27,836.

The distance to the 100-day averages is the first hurdle. The Composite needs a move above 26,255 to reclaim the level; the Nasdaq 100 needs above 29,573. Both are overhead, meaning the indices are below them rather than testing from above.

IndexCurrent100-day MA200-day MA
Nasdaq Composite26,02226,25524,922
Nasdaq 10029,03729,57327,836

Amazon's live quote adds a single-stock reference point. The shares changed hands at $248.00, down 5.48%, in a session range of $246.45 to $250.01 as of 22:26 UTC today. That move arrives before the company's Thursday-after-the-close report.

The earnings calendar gives the week its shape. Monday before the open carries Verizon; after the close, Celestica, Cadence Design Systems, Rambus and Whirlpool. Tuesday brings SoFi, UPS, Coca-Cola, Corning, Freeport-McMoRan, PayPal and S&P Global before the open, with Robinhood, Seagate, Visa and Waste Management after. Wednesday's pre-open list includes Amphenol, Boston Scientific, Vertiv, GE Vernova, UBS, ADP and Phillips 66, with Microsoft, Alphabet, ServiceNow, KLA, Carvana, FedEx, Fortinet, T-Mobile and Chipotle after the close.

Thursday opens with Caterpillar, Carrier, Eli Lilly, Vulcan Materials, STMicroelectronics and L3Harris, then Amazon, Intel, Sandisk, Roblox, Reddit, Twilio, Coinbase, Starbucks and Rivian after. Friday closes the week with Exxon Mobil, Chevron, BP, Regeneron, AstraZeneca and General Dynamics before the open.

Analysis — What It Means for Markets and Sectors

The second-order effects run through the supply chain around the three megacaps. KLA and STMicroelectronics report during the same window, giving semiconductor equipment and chip supply a parallel read. Vertiv, Amphenol and GE Vernova bring infrastructure and power demand into focus before Microsoft and Alphabet report, which matters because the report ties the megacap story to spending on AI services and whether that spending converts into revenue and profits.

Alphabet's report carries search advertising and Google Cloud as the watched lines, with AI affecting both the opportunity and the cost of doing business. Amazon's carries AWS cloud growth, retail margins and its own investment spending. Microsoft's carries Azure cloud growth and demand for AI services. The common thread the report identifies is evidence that spending is producing results, plus guidance supporting more growth.

The counter-argument sits in the report's own framing. An earnings beat does not automatically lift a stock, because expectations, guidance and what is already priced in all matter. A company can post good numbers and see shares fail to rally, or rally and fade, and that reaction is itself information about the appetite to buy. Disappointing results followed by a recovery can equally signal that sellers had their shot and lost control.

Positioning follows the technicals. With both indices below their 100-day averages, sellers hold the advantage and buyers need a close back above those levels to change it. The 200-day averages sit underneath as the reference points traders are watching on the downside. Amazon's 5.48% decline into its report illustrates how much single-stock risk is already moving ahead of the prints.

Outlook — What to Watch Next

Wednesday after the close is the pivot. Microsoft and Alphabet report alongside ServiceNow and KLA, and the reaction in those shares into Thursday's session will set the tone for the rest of the week. Amazon follows Thursday after the close, with Intel, Coinbase, Reddit and Starbucks in the same batch.

On the technical side, the levels are defined. A close above 26,255 on the Nasdaq Composite and 29,573 on the Nasdaq 100 would take pressure off buyers. Staying below keeps sellers in control, with 24,922 and 27,836 as the downside references.

Friday's energy slate, led by Exxon Mobil, Chevron and BP before the open, closes the week with production, margins and spending plans in view. Caterpillar on Thursday morning offers the read on equipment demand and business investment. Each of these is a conditional input, not a forecast: the report's position is that price action, not the headline, settles the question.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Nasdaq trading below its 100-day moving average mean?

It means the index is below a level that traders use as a medium-term trend gauge. The Nasdaq Composite at 26,022 sits under its 100-day average at 26,255, and the Nasdaq 100 at 29,037 sits under 29,573. The report treats the 100-day averages as overhead resistance and the 200-day averages below as downside targets if selling continues.

Why does Amazon's share price matter for the earnings week?

Amazon reports Thursday after the close, and its shares traded at $248.00, down 5.48% today, within a range of $246.45 to $250.01 as of 22:26 UTC. The report highlights AWS cloud growth, retail margins and investment spending as the items shaping the market's read on the technology outlook, so the stock's reaction will carry weight beyond the company itself.

Which sectors report alongside the technology megacaps?

The week spreads well past technology. Industrials appear through UPS, Caterpillar, Carrier, L3Harris and General Dynamics. Consumer names include Coca-Cola, Chipotle, Starbucks and Whirlpool. Energy closes the week with Exxon Mobil, Chevron and BP. Payments and consumer spending show up through Visa and PayPal, and crypto trading through Coinbase.

Bottom Line

Both Nasdaq indices sit below their 100-day averages, so next week's megacap earnings must lift prices, not just beat estimates.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. CFD trading carries high risk of capital loss.

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